A Week in the Market: Time for Banks to Make Decisions (24 October — 28 October)
This week investors will pay attention to the meetings of leading Central Banks and US GDP publications. The week is expected to be quite nervous.
The European Central Bank will have a meeting and make a decision on the interest rate. Now it amounts to 1.25%. Market expectations are ambitious: the growth is expected to be by 75 base points at once, to 2% a year. If the forecast comes true, the EUR will get support.
The Bank of Japan does not plan to change its monetary policy: the rate will remain negative even under such great pressure on the JPY. The Bank of Canada might increase the rate by 50 base points to 3.75%. On the comments of the Banks, the perspective for recovery of the JPY and CAD depends.
The US are preparing some most important macroeconomic reports, including the prelim GDP for Q3. Averaged expectations suggest growth by 2.3% after a decline by 0.6% previously. The better the results, the more optimistic the USD will be.
Important statistics from Great Britain this week will be scarce. Make notice of production orders balance for October: the inducator could drop abruptly. However, the GBP will be mostly focused on political events, especially on the appointment of the new Prime Minister. The most conservative option will support the GBP.
Australia will publish inflation reports for Q3: it might demonstrate a certain sliwdown. Moreover, they will issue the annual report of the Reserve Bank of Australia. Chinese statistics will also have an impact. The AUD might drop somewhat, if the digits do not impress.