A Week in the Market: USD Performance and Outlook for Other Currencies (5-9 February)
2 minutes for reading
While this week may favour the US dollar, the release of new statistical data could alter the situation.
USD: remaining in a strong position
Significant statistics from the US will be scarce, but the PMI parameters and information on the ISM index in January are noteworthy among the upcoming releases. The USD remains robust as investors no longer expect the Federal Reserve to reduce the interest rate in March but hope for a change in May.
JPY: another inflationary signal
Japan is poised to present a crucial inflation indicator – the household spending index in December, illustrating how citizens spend their money. The index is projected to shift from −2.9% to −2.0% year-over-year, which would be positive news for the JPY.
China: support for risky assets
China is gearing up to release an abundance of crucial data from the inflation rate to the producer price index in January, before the long New Year holidays. Robust reports are expected to support assets linked to risk.
EUR: potential weakening
The eurozone is set to publish minimal vital statistics. It is worth paying attention to the services PMI in January, which is projected to decline from 48.8 to 48.4 points. This would be negative news for the EUR, given its weakened position.
AUD: focus on the interest rate
At its next meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia will likely maintain the interest rate at 4.35% per annum. The AUD exchange rate will depend on the regulator’s comments. The RBA will probably cut the rate in early summer.